CONTENT

• COVID-19 Cases Analisys for the World, Australia, Argentina, UK and the USA
• COVID-19 Deaths Analisys for the World, Australia, Argentina, UK and the USA
• Best and Worst Performers as of Today
• Data Source Links

 

 

COVID-19 Cases

 

• World – at current trend the world could just reach 3,000,000 cases by 30th Apr (small reduction!)

• Australia – at current trend, could be under 7,000 cases by day “50”(29th Apr) – curve is almost flat
• Argentina – case numbers decreased, at current trend could be around 4,000 cases by day “50” (9th May)

• UK – the curve is flattening, at current trend UK could be just under 160,000 cases by day “55” (29th Apr)

• USA – there was a big jump of number of new cases in the USA last couple of days, at current trend could reach 1,000,000 cases by day “55” (26th Apr)

 

 

COVID-19 Deaths

 

• World – at present trend, total number of deaths related to COVID-19 could be under 250,000 by 30th Apr (small reduction!)

• Australia – at current trend, could still be under 100 by day “50” (29th Apr)
• Argentina – at current trend could be little over 250 by day “50” (9th May) – small reduction!

• UK – at current trend could be just under 22,500 by day “55” (29th Apr) – small reduction

• USA – at the current trent, the USA could be over 60,000 by day “55” (26th Apr) – the projection is for deaths to reach 100,000 by May

 

 

 

Best and Worst Performers as of Today

The symbol indicates a change in the ranking table from yesterday.

Lowest Cases per 1 million (1M) Population

• No changes

Highest Cases per 1 million (1M) Population

• No changes

Highest Recoveries per Case volume

• No changes

Lowest Recoveries per Case volume

• UK and Netherlands did not report recoveries to the WHO (have not done it for a while now)
• No changes

Number of New Recoveries per Cases volume

• Large numer of recoveries reported by South Africa, Algeria, India and Germany

Highest Tests volume per 1 million (1M) Population

• Czeck Republic and Australia swapped places

Lowest Test volume per 1 million (1M) Population

• Pakistan and Morocco swapped places; Philippines and Egypt swapped places
• Argentina is still not doing enough tests for their population size (Argentian has a similar population size to Spain, and Spain has performed almost 20 times the number of tests per 1M population)

Number of New Tests overnight per 1 million (1M) Population

• Large test efforts continue in Portugal, Italy, Russia, USA and Australia

Lowest Deaths per Case volume

• Saudi Arabia and Russia swapped places

Highest Deaths per Case volume

• Belgium continues to be at the top for deaths, it’s been there for a few days
• France reported a large number fo deaths too, and displaced Algeria
• UK continues to also report a large number of deaths overnight; while Italy reported fell down one spot (number of deaths overnight at Italy is reducing)

Lowest Number of New Cases overnight per Case volume

• Australia and South Korea swapped places (again)
• Czech Republic continues to report low new cases overnight – The country has implemented tough measure to control the spread from the start
• New cases in Iran, Italy, Portugal and Germany are reducing; this is a good sign that the crisis might be controlled there

Highest Number of New Cases overnight per Case volume

• No country showing increases of over 10% which is a good sign
• Mexico displaced Bangladesh at the top with an almost 10% increase of caseload overnight – Bangladesh still at 2nd spot
• Russia, Ukraine, South Arabia, Peru and Brazil still reported large increases of caseloads overnight (they’ve done that for several days already)
• Morocco made it to this ranking with almost 7% caseload increase overnight
• Daily increases of 14-15% mean case volume could double in around 4-5 days; daily increases of 9-10% mean case volumes could double in around 5-6 days – It is encouraging to see we don’t have any country with daily case increases of 25% of case volumes of higher, as that would mean that caseloads would double in 2-3 days

Highest Number of Days from Day “1” (>100 cases)

• These are the countries who have been battling with COVID-19 the longest (counted only from their day “1”, when they passed 100 cases) – Cells in YELLOW indicate increases of more than 10%
• Singapore caseload has increased more than 10% overnight – Singapore acted quickly to establish measures to protect its population when the crisis started (tough norms) and controlled the first wave of COVID-19 very effectively; but a second wave is hitting the country now (perhaps they relaxed their controls too early – this could be a learning for countries considering to open up economies now)

 

 

Data Source Links

 

• WHO Source: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports
• Current Numbers: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
• Geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases worldwide: https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/download-todays-data-geographic-distribution-covid-19-cases-worldwide