COVID-19 Graphs 20MAY2020

Notes:

  1. Using the WorldMeter website to update daily numbers and make projections for all countries
  2. Netherlands and UK do not provide details of their recovered and active cases, therefore they are not included in any reports that are considering these

 

Interesting Facts

  • The total COVID-19 cases worldwide will pass 5 million cases today. It took 74 days to go from 100 cases to 1 million; but then it has been taking an average of 11 days to get 1 million increases of the caseload until now.

  • Brazil will pass Spain on number of cases tomorrow, and will take the 3rd spot for total number of cases worldwide

 

Comparative Analysis from Day “1” (>100 cases) by Cases/Deaths relative to 1M Populations

Compare countries COVID-19 journey from their day “1” (when they exceeded the 100 case mark) using their case and death numbers relative to the countries 1 million population (1M).

Highest Caseloads per 1M Population (+China as reference)

  • Singapore has taken the lead on case number per 1M people in the world
  • Belarus, USA and Sweden caseload continues to increase (curve not flattening)
  • USA could pass Ireland, Spain and Belgium before 31st May, have the highest caseload per 1M people in the world
  • Sweden could pass Italy before 31st May

  • All other curves seem to be flattening with the exception of Sweden and USA

Hotspots Around the World (+China as reference)

The logic to determine Hotspots was changed to take to account the last 7 days of reporting, the top-10 countries with the highest trend of case increases are included in this group.

  • Egypt joined this group as it reported large caseload increases daily for about a week
  • Peru . Chile, Oman and Saudi Arabia lead this group, followed by Brazil — no changes from  yesterday

  • Egypt was also added to this report
  • Peru and Brazil continue to lead this group

COVID-19 Cases

Legend: Decrease  ; Increase  ; No Change 

 

  • World – at current trend the world could pass 6 million cases by 31st May

  • Australia – at current trend, could be around 7,100 cases by 31st May 

  • Argentina – at current trend could be under 14,000 cases by 31st May

  • UK – at current trend UK could be under 300,000 cases by 31st May 

  • USA – at current trend could be under 1,800,000 cases by 31st May 

 

COVID-19 Deaths

Legend: Decrease ; Increase ; No Change

 

  • World – at present trend, total number of deaths from COVID-19 could be under 370,000 by 31st May 

  • Australia – at current trend, could be under 105 by 31st May 

  • Argentina – at current trend, deaths could pass 500 by 31st May 

  • UK – at current trend could be under 40,000 by 31st May 

  • USA – at the current trend, deaths could be below 105,000 by 31st May 

 

Best and Worst Performers as of Today

The symbol indicates a change in the ranking table from yesterday.

Lowest Cases per 1 million (1M) Population

  • Japan and Egypt swapped places; Argentina still in the 10th place for caseload to 1M people worldwide

Highest Cases per 1 million (1M) Population

  • Singapore and Ireland swapped places — Singapore is second to Spain on having the largest caseload per 1M people worldwide

Highest Recoveries per Case volume

  • Israel and Ireland swapped places

Lowest Recoveries per Case volume

  • Portugal and Philippines swapped places
  • Norway continues to show a very low number of recoveries — it is highly probable Norway is just not reporting recoveries to WHO (like UK and Netherlands)

Number of New Recoveries per Cases volume

  • Peru reported a large number of recoveries overnight (more than 6% of their caseload)
  • Countries in YELLOW are new to this ranking (all other countries were there yesterday)

Highest Tests volume per 1 million (1M) Population

  • Ireland and Israel swapped places
  • Australia displaced Singapore and took the 10th spot, with more than 1 million tests performed

Lowest Test volume per 1 million (1M) Population

  • No changes

Number of New Tests overnight per 1 million (1M) Population

  • Ireland performed a large number of tests overnight
  • Sweden also reported many tests performed overnight
  • Countries in YELLOW are new to this ranking (all other countries were there yesterday)

Lowest Deaths per Case volume

  • Kazakhstan and Ghana swapped places

Highest Deaths per Case volume

  • UK and Italy swapped places

Lowest Number of New Cases overnight per Case volume

  • It is good to see Ireland and Netherlands reporting low numbers of new cases per caseload; and also that Spain continues to report low new cases for many days
  • Countries in YELLOW are new to this ranking (all other countries were there yesterday)

Highest Number of New Cases overnight per Case volume

  • Brazil , Afghanistan and Chile reported caseload increases of more than 7%
  • Countries in YELLOW are new to this ranking (all other countries were there yesterday)
  • Daily increases of 14-15% mean case volume could double in around 4-5 days; daily increases of 9-10% mean case volumes could double in around 5-6 days – It is encouraging to see we don’t have any country with daily case increases of 25% of case volumes of higher, as that would mean that caseloads would double in 2-3 days

Highest Number of Days from Day “1” (>100 cases) – Yellow if >5% increase

  • Singapore reported a significant increase of recoveries

Hotspots (highest overnight case increase per 1M last 7 days)

These reports were changed from today to consider countries with large caseload increases in the last 7 days as Hotspots (used to only consider 3 days)

  • Egypt was added to this group after reporting large caseload increases for a week; all other countries were in this report yesterday (only position changes in those)

Brightspots (countries best handling the COVID-19 crisis as per criteria described above)

 

  • No changes, except for position changes, to this list

 

Data Source Links

 

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