Notes:
- Using the WorldMeter website to update daily numbers and make projections for all countries
- Netherlands and UK do not provide details of their recovered and active cases, therefore they are not included in any reports that are considering these
Interesting Facts
- The total COVID-19 cases worldwide will pass 5 million cases today. It took 74 days to go from 100 cases to 1 million; but then it has been taking an average of 11 days to get 1 million increases of the caseload until now.
- Brazil will pass Spain on number of cases tomorrow, and will take the 3rd spot for total number of cases worldwide
Comparative Analysis from Day “1” (>100 cases) by Cases/Deaths relative to 1M Populations
Compare countries COVID-19 journey from their day “1” (when they exceeded the 100 case mark) using their case and death numbers relative to the countries 1 million population (1M).
Highest Caseloads per 1M Population (+China as reference)
- Singapore has taken the lead on case number per 1M people in the world
- Belarus, USA and Sweden caseload continues to increase (curve not flattening)
- USA could pass Ireland, Spain and Belgium before 31st May, have the highest caseload per 1M people in the world
- Sweden could pass Italy before 31st May
- All other curves seem to be flattening with the exception of Sweden and USA
Hotspots Around the World (+China as reference)
The logic to determine Hotspots was changed to take to account the last 7 days of reporting, the top-10 countries with the highest trend of case increases are included in this group.
- Egypt joined this group as it reported large caseload increases daily for about a week
- Peru . Chile, Oman and Saudi Arabia lead this group, followed by Brazil — no changes from yesterday
- Egypt was also added to this report
- Peru and Brazil continue to lead this group
COVID-19 Cases
Legend: Decrease 
; Increase 
; No Change 
- World – at current trend the world could pass 6 million cases by 31st May
- Australia – at current trend, could be around 7,100 cases by 31st May
- Argentina – at current trend could be under 14,000 cases by 31st May
- UK – at current trend UK could be under 300,000 cases by 31st May
- USA – at current trend could be under 1,800,000 cases by 31st May
COVID-19 Deaths
Legend: Decrease ; Increase ; No Change
- World – at present trend, total number of deaths from COVID-19 could be under 370,000 by 31st May
- Australia – at current trend, could be under 105 by 31st May
- Argentina – at current trend, deaths could pass 500 by 31st May
- UK – at current trend could be under 40,000 by 31st May
- USA – at the current trend, deaths could be below 105,000 by 31st May
Best and Worst Performers as of Today
The symbol 
indicates a change in the ranking table from yesterday.
Lowest Cases per 1 million (1M) Population
- Japan and Egypt swapped places; Argentina still in the 10th place for caseload to 1M people worldwide
Highest Cases per 1 million (1M) Population
- Singapore and Ireland swapped places — Singapore is second to Spain on having the largest caseload per 1M people worldwide
Highest Recoveries per Case volume
- Israel and Ireland swapped places
Lowest Recoveries per Case volume
- Portugal and Philippines swapped places
- Norway continues to show a very low number of recoveries — it is highly probable Norway is just not reporting recoveries to WHO (like UK and Netherlands)
Number of New Recoveries per Cases volume
- Peru reported a large number of recoveries overnight (more than 6% of their caseload)
- Countries in YELLOW are new to this ranking (all other countries were there yesterday)
Highest Tests volume per 1 million (1M) Population
- Ireland and Israel swapped places
- Australia displaced Singapore and took the 10th spot, with more than 1 million tests performed
Lowest Test volume per 1 million (1M) Population
- No changes
Number of New Tests overnight per 1 million (1M) Population
- Ireland performed a large number of tests overnight
- Sweden also reported many tests performed overnight
- Countries in YELLOW are new to this ranking (all other countries were there yesterday)
Lowest Deaths per Case volume
- Kazakhstan and Ghana swapped places
Highest Deaths per Case volume
- UK and Italy swapped places
Lowest Number of New Cases overnight per Case volume
- It is good to see Ireland and Netherlands reporting low numbers of new cases per caseload; and also that Spain continues to report low new cases for many days
- Countries in YELLOW are new to this ranking (all other countries were there yesterday)
Highest Number of New Cases overnight per Case volume
- Brazil , Afghanistan and Chile reported caseload increases of more than 7%
- Countries in YELLOW are new to this ranking (all other countries were there yesterday)
- Daily increases of 14-15% mean case volume could double in around 4-5 days; daily increases of 9-10% mean case volumes could double in around 5-6 days – It is encouraging to see we don’t have any country with daily case increases of 25% of case volumes of higher, as that would mean that caseloads would double in 2-3 days
Highest Number of Days from Day “1” (>100 cases) – Yellow if >5% increase
- Singapore reported a significant increase of recoveries
Hotspots (highest overnight case increase per 1M last 7 days)
These reports were changed from today to consider countries with large caseload increases in the last 7 days as Hotspots (used to only consider 3 days)
- Egypt was added to this group after reporting large caseload increases for a week; all other countries were in this report yesterday (only position changes in those)
Brightspots (countries best handling the COVID-19 crisis as per criteria described above)
- No changes, except for position changes, to this list
Data Source Links
- WHO Source: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports
- Current Numbers: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
- Geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases worldwide: https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/download-todays-data-geographic-distribution-covid-19-cases-worldwide