Notes:

1. Using the WorldMeter website to update daily numbers and make projections for all countries
   
2. Netherlands and UK do not provide details of their recovered and active cases, therefore they are not included in any reports that are considering these
3. Argentina did not report cases or deaths overnight — might have been a timing issue and it’d be corrected tomorrow

 

Comparative Analysis from Day “1” (>100 cases) by Cases/Deaths relative to 1M Populations

Compare countries COVID-19 journey from their day “1” (when they exceeded the 100 case mark) using their case and death numbers relative to the countries 1 million population (1M).

Highest Caseloads per 1M (+China as reference)

• Chile joined this group with the highest caseloads per 1M, it has already passed Italy and UK

• Chile’s death rate to 1M is very low though; Belgium is still the highest
• All curves are flattening

Hotspots Around the World (+China as reference)

The logic to determine Hotspots was changed to take to account the last 7 days of reporting, the top-10 countries with the highest trend of case increases are included in this group.

• Argentina dropped off from this group as it did not report any new cases overnight
• Chile, Oman, Brazil and Bolivia lead this group — Chile has made the top 10 countries in the world with largest caseloads per 1M people

• Brazil continues to increase their death rate; followed by Mexico, Bolivia and Chile

 

COVID-19 Cases

Legend: Decrease  ; Increase  ; No Change 

 

• World – at current trend the world could pass 6 million cases by 31st May

• Australia – at current trend, could be around 7,100 cases by 31st May 

• Argentina – at current trend could reach 16,000 cases by 31st May 

 

COVID-19 Deaths

Legend: Decrease ; Increase ; No Change

 

• World – at present trend, total number of deaths from COVID-19 could be under 370,000 by 31st May 

• Australia – at current trend, could be under 105 by 31st May 

• Argentina – at current trend, deaths could pass 500 by 31st May 

 

Best and Worst Performers as of Today

The symbol indicates a change in the ranking table from yesterday.

Highest Cases per 1 million (1M) Population

• Belarus reported many new cases and climbed up to the 6th position
• UK and Italy swapped places
• Switzerland dropped off from this ranking, and Chile took its place

Number of New Recoveries per Cases volume

• Portugal reported a large number of recoveries overnight
• Countries in YELLOW are new to this ranking (all other countries were there yesterday)

Number of New Tests overnight per 1 million (1M) Population

• Spain reported a large number of new tests conducted overnight
• Denmark, UK, Russia and Belarus continue to perform a large number of tests daily (top 4 for many days already)
• Countries in YELLOW are new to this ranking (all other countries were there yesterday)

Highest Deaths per Case volume

• No changes — Still receiving feedback about how good is Sweden doing with their no-lockdown approach; Sweden still seats 6th in the world due to the number of deaths per 1M

Lowest Number of New Cases overnight per Case volume

• China reported 3 new cases; Finland reported a very low number of new cases
• Countries in YELLOW are new to this ranking (all other countries were there yesterday)

Highest Number of New Cases overnight per Case volume

• Nigeria Oman, Bolivia and Afghanistan have had large caseload increases (more than 5.5%) again — they’ve been at the top of this ranking for a few days
• Countries in YELLOW are new to this ranking (all other countries were there yesterday)
• Daily increases of 14-15% mean case volume could double in around 4-5 days; daily increases of 9-10% mean case volumes could double in around 5-6 days – It is encouraging to see we don’t have any country with daily case increases of 25% of case volumes of higher, as that would mean that caseloads would double in 2-3 days

Hotspots (highest overnight case increase per 1M last 7 days)

These reports were changed from today to consider countries with large caseload increases in the last 7 days as Hotspots (used to only consider 3 days)

• Mexico joined this group as it has reported large new cases for seven days
• All other countries were in this report yesterday (only position changes in those)

 

Data Source Links

 

• WHO Source: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports
• Current Numbers: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
• Geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases worldwide: https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/download-todays-data-geographic-distribution-covid-19-cases-worldwide