Notes:
- Using the WorldMeter website to update daily numbers and make projections for all countries
- Netherlands and UK do not provide details of their recovered and active cases, therefore they are not included in any reports that are considering these
- Argentina did not report cases or deaths overnight — might have been a timing issue and it’d be corrected tomorrow
Comparative Analysis from Day “1” (>100 cases) by Cases/Deaths relative to 1M Populations
Compare countries COVID-19 journey from their day “1” (when they exceeded the 100 case mark) using their case and death numbers relative to the countries 1 million population (1M).
Highest Caseloads per 1M (+China as reference)
- Chile joined this group with the highest caseloads per 1M, it has already passed Italy and UK
- Chile’s death rate to 1M is very low though; Belgium is still the highest
- All curves are flattening
Hotspots Around the World (+China as reference)
The logic to determine Hotspots was changed to take to account the last 7 days of reporting, the top-10 countries with the highest trend of case increases are included in this group.
- Argentina dropped off from this group as it did not report any new cases overnight
- Chile, Oman, Brazil and Bolivia lead this group — Chile has made the top 10 countries in the world with largest caseloads per 1M people
- Brazil continues to increase their death rate; followed by Mexico, Bolivia and Chile
COVID-19 Cases
Legend: Decrease ; Increase
; No Change
- World – at current trend the world could pass 6 million cases by 31st May
- Australia – at current trend, could be around 7,100 cases by 31st May
- Argentina – at current trend could reach 16,000 cases by 31st May
COVID-19 Deaths
Legend: Decrease ; Increase
; No Change
- World – at present trend, total number of deaths from COVID-19 could be under 370,000 by 31st May
- Australia – at current trend, could be under 105 by 31st May
- Argentina – at current trend, deaths could pass 500 by 31st May
Best and Worst Performers as of Today
The symbol indicates a change in the ranking table from yesterday.
Highest Cases per 1 million (1M) Population
- Belarus reported many new cases and climbed up to the 6th position
- UK and Italy swapped places
- Switzerland dropped off from this ranking, and Chile took its place
Number of New Recoveries per Cases volume
- Portugal reported a large number of recoveries overnight
- Countries in YELLOW are new to this ranking (all other countries were there yesterday)
Number of New Tests overnight per 1 million (1M) Population
- Spain reported a large number of new tests conducted overnight
- Denmark, UK, Russia and Belarus continue to perform a large number of tests daily (top 4 for many days already)
- Countries in YELLOW are new to this ranking (all other countries were there yesterday)
Highest Deaths per Case volume
- No changes — Still receiving feedback about how good is Sweden doing with their no-lockdown approach; Sweden still seats 6th in the world due to the number of deaths per 1M
Lowest Number of New Cases overnight per Case volume
- China reported 3 new cases; Finland reported a very low number of new cases
- Countries in YELLOW are new to this ranking (all other countries were there yesterday)
Highest Number of New Cases overnight per Case volume
- Nigeria Oman, Bolivia and Afghanistan have had large caseload increases (more than 5.5%) again — they’ve been at the top of this ranking for a few days
- Countries in YELLOW are new to this ranking (all other countries were there yesterday)
- Daily increases of 14-15% mean case volume could double in around 4-5 days; daily increases of 9-10% mean case volumes could double in around 5-6 days – It is encouraging to see we don’t have any country with daily case increases of 25% of case volumes of higher, as that would mean that caseloads would double in 2-3 days
Hotspots (highest overnight case increase per 1M last 7 days)
These reports were changed from today to consider countries with large caseload increases in the last 7 days as Hotspots (used to only consider 3 days)
- Mexico joined this group as it has reported large new cases for seven days
- All other countries were in this report yesterday (only position changes in those)
Data Source Links
- WHO Source: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports
- Current Numbers: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
- Geographic distribution of COVID-19 cases worldwide: https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/publications-data/download-todays-data-geographic-distribution-covid-19-cases-worldwide