NSW Cases by Location Analysis as of 3rd August 2021

NSW Total Cases
NSW cases continue to climb, mostly locally transmitted
Reports updated to show data from 1st July to the present
NSW Totals of Locally Acquired Cases ONLY
The current outbreak started on 16th June and has increased daily, and so far continues to grow 
The curve is showing sings of exponential grown now which is a very bad sign
NSW Cases by Day
A total of 803 new cases in the last 4 days.
From the 803, only 6 cases were overseas acquired with 797 cases locally acquired (99%) -- 341 from unknown sources (investigated)
341 Number of cases with unknown sources is too high now
NSW Cases by Area
A number of LGAs just got new cases two (2) week after the lockdown was announced (lockdown 21JUN, new cases after 05JUL)
(they are: Bathurst Regional (A), Blue Mountains (C), Cabonne (A), Dungog (A), Goulburn Mulwaree (A), Gunnedah (A), Ku-ring-gai (A), Lake Macquarie (C), Lane Cove (A), Singleton (A), Snowy Valleys (A), Wingecarribee (A), Wollongong (C) ) 
LGAs with new cases in the last 3 days, but 1st time since 1st July: Singleton (A), Snowy Valleys (A)
Cases reported last 4 days from: Canterbury-Bankstown  222, Cumberland  129, Fairfield  94, Liverpool  75, Blacktown  64, Campbelltown  52, Inner West  25, Parramatta  25, Georges River  17, Strathfield  16, Penrith  13, Bayside  12, The Hills Shire  10, Camden  7, Ryde  7, Canada Bay  5, Northern Beaches  4, Sydney  4, Sutherland Shire  3, Willoughby  3, Overseas 3, Waverley  3, Wollondilly  1, Lane Cove  1, Central Coast  1, Lake Macquarie  1, Dungog  1, Wingecarribee  1, Singleton  1, Snowy Valleys  1, Burwood  1.
"(blank)" in the area is used to identify "Overseas" cases
NSW Trends of the TOP-10 "Hotspot" LGAs (the areas to avoid!)
Locally acquired cases make up the majority of the cases in NSW
TOP-10 NSW LGAs with highest new cases proportional to their population for last 4 days
Canterbury-Bankstown has the highest new cases per population now
Strathfield once again has more new cases per population than Liverpool, Campbelltown, Blacktown and Georges Basin; 
 but Strathfield is not in "tight" lockdown group of LGAs
SHOALHAVEN Cases 
Last reported case in the Shoalhaven LGA was on 7th Jan ; and it was overseas acquired
13 cases reported in the Wollongong LGA from 1st July ; 5 reported last week: 2 on 27th and 3 on 28th July
4 cases reported in the Wingigarabee LGA from 1st July ; 1 reported last week: 1 on 31st July
PROJECTIONS of Cases using last 14 days of data - If cases reduce gradually
Projecting the volume of cases for the next 14 days, using the daily moving average of the last 10 days, the earliest
possible end of the lockdown, if cases start to lower daily from tomorrow, would be 16th Aug
PROJECTIONS of Cases using last 14 days of data - If cases increase as trend
If new cases keep maintaining the current trend, we could have more than 10,000 cases in total in NSW
by 28th Aug (3x the current caseload - that would put dangerous stress on our health system)