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NSW Total Cases |
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• |
NSW cases continue to climb, mostly locally
transmitted |
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• |
Reports updated to show data from 1st July to
the present |
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|
NSW Totals of Locally Acquired Cases ONLY |
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• |
The current outbreak started on 16th June and
has increased daily, and so far continues to grow |
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• |
The curve is showing sings of exponential grown
now which is a very bad sign |
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|
NSW Cases by Day |
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• |
A total of 803 new cases in the last 4 days. |
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• |
From the 803, only 6 cases were overseas
acquired with 797 cases locally acquired (99%) -- 341 from unknown sources
(investigated) |
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• |
341 Number of cases with unknown sources is too
high now |
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|
NSW Cases by Area |
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• |
A number of LGAs just got new cases two (2)
week after the lockdown was announced (lockdown 21JUN, new cases after 05JUL) |
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(they are:
Bathurst Regional (A), Blue Mountains (C), Cabonne (A), Dungog (A), Goulburn
Mulwaree (A), Gunnedah (A), Ku-ring-gai (A), Lake Macquarie (C), Lane Cove
(A), Singleton (A), Snowy Valleys (A), Wingecarribee (A), Wollongong (C) ) |
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• |
LGAs with new
cases in the last 3 days, but 1st time since 1st July: Singleton (A), Snowy
Valleys (A) |
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• |
Cases reported
last 4 days from: Canterbury-Bankstown
222, Cumberland 129,
Fairfield 94, Liverpool 75, Blacktown 64, Campbelltown 52, Inner West 25, Parramatta 25, Georges River 17, Strathfield 16, Penrith
13, Bayside 12, The Hills
Shire 10, Camden 7, Ryde
7, Canada Bay 5, Northern
Beaches 4, Sydney 4, Sutherland Shire 3, Willoughby 3, Overseas 3, Waverley 3, Wollondilly 1, Lane Cove 1, Central Coast 1, Lake Macquarie 1, Dungog
1, Wingecarribee 1,
Singleton 1, Snowy Valleys 1, Burwood
1. |
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• |
"(blank)" in the area is used to
identify "Overseas" cases |
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NSW Trends of the TOP-10 "Hotspot"
LGAs (the areas to avoid!) |
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• |
Locally acquired cases make up the majority of
the cases in NSW |
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|
TOP-10 NSW LGAs with highest new cases
proportional to their population for last 4 days |
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• |
Canterbury-Bankstown has the highest new cases
per population now |
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Strathfield once again has more new cases per
population than Liverpool, Campbelltown, Blacktown and Georges Basin; |
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but
Strathfield is not in "tight" lockdown group of LGAs |
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SHOALHAVEN Cases |
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• |
Last reported case in the Shoalhaven LGA was on
7th Jan ; and it was overseas acquired |
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13 cases reported in the Wollongong LGA from
1st July ; 5 reported last week: 2 on 27th and 3 on 28th July |
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4 cases reported in the Wingigarabee LGA from
1st July ; 1 reported last week: 1 on 31st July |
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PROJECTIONS of Cases using last 14 days of
data - If cases reduce gradually |
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• |
Projecting the volume of cases for the next 14
days, using the daily moving average of the last 10 days, the earliest |
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possible end of the lockdown, if cases start
to lower daily from tomorrow, would be 16th Aug |
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PROJECTIONS of Cases using last 14 days of
data - If cases increase as trend |
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• |
If new cases keep maintaining the current
trend, we could have more than 10,000 cases in total in NSW |
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by 28th Aug (3x the current caseload - that
would put dangerous stress on our health system) |
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