NSW Cases by Location as of 6th August 2021

NSW Total Cases
• NSW cases continue to climb, mostly locally transmitted
• Reports updated to show data from 1st July to the present
NSW Totals of Locally Acquired Cases ONLY
• The current outbreak started on 16th June and has increased daily, and so far continues to grow 
• The curve is showing sings of exponential grown now which is a very bad sign
• Total number of cases reported yesterday was 291 but only 241 of those were included in the NSW Health data file.
NSW Cases by Day
• A total of 949 new cases in the last 4 days.
• From the 949, only 9 cases were overseas acquired with 940 cases locally acquired (99%) -- 457 from unknown sources (investigated)
• 457 Number of cases with unknown sources is too high now
NSW Cases by Area
• A number of LGAs just got new cases two (2) week after the lockdown was announced (lockdown 21JUN, new cases after 05JUL)
(they are: Bathurst Regional (A), Blue Mountains (C), Cabonne (A), Goulburn Mulwaree (A), Gunnedah (A), Ku-ring-gai (A), Lake Macquarie (C), Lane Cove (A), Maitland (C), Newcastle (C), Snowy Valleys (A), Wingecarribee (A), Wollongong (C) ) 
• LGAs with new cases in the last 3 days, but 1st time since 1st July: Maitland (C), Newcastle (C)
• Cases reported last 4 days from: Canterbury-Bankstown  265, Cumberland  166, Liverpool  82, Fairfield  70, Blacktown  63, Penrith  52, Campbelltown  50, Parramatta  41, Bayside  19, Inner West  18, Overseas 17, Camden  15, Georges River  15, Sydney  12, Strathfield  10, Central Coast  9, The Hills Shire  7, Willoughby  5, Ryde  5, Canada Bay  4, Waverley  4, Maitland  4, Wollongong  3, Northern Beaches  3, Burwood  3, Sutherland Shire  3, Snowy Valleys  1, Blue Mountains  1, Wingecarribee  1, Newcastle  1.
• "(blank)" in the area is used to identify "Overseas" cases
NSW Trends of the TOP-10 "Hotspot" LGAs (the areas to avoid!)
• Locally acquired cases make up the majority of the cases in NSW
TOP-10 NSW LGAs with highest new cases proportional to their population for last 4 days
• Canterbury-Bankstown has the highest new cases per population now
• Strathfield has now more new cases per population last 3 days than Fairfield, Campbelltown, Liverpool, Blacktown, etc.; 
 but Strathfield is still not in "tight" lockdown (but Fairfield, Campbelltown, Liverpool, Blacktown, etc. are)
SHOALHAVEN Cases 
• Last reported case in the Shoalhaven LGA was on 7th Jan ; and it was overseas acquired
• 16 cases reported in the Wollongong LGA from 1st July ; 6 reported last week: 3 on 28th July; and 3 on 3rd Aug
• 5 cases reported in the Wingigarabee LGA from 1st July ; 2 reported last week: 1 on 31st July and 1 on 5th Aug
PROJECTIONS of Cases using last 14 days of data - If cases increase as trend
• If new cases keep maintaining the current trend, we could have almost than 12,000 cases in total in
NSW by 28th Aug (3x the current caseload - that would put dangerous stress on our health system)
• 3x the caseload could mean 3x the hospitalisations, 3x the people in ICU and 3x the deaths