NSW Cases by Location Analysis as of 12th August 2021

This outbreak (from 16th June)
NSW Total Cases Locally Transmitted: 6491 Ovearseas Acquired: 133 Deaths: 37
NSW cases continue to climb, mostly locally transmitted
Reports updated to show data from 1st July to the present
NSW has more cases from this outbreak (from 16th June) than it has ever had since the 1st COVID-19 case in January 2020
NSW Totals of Locally Acquired Cases ONLY
The current outbreak started on 16th June and has increased daily, and so far continues to grow 
The curve is showing sings of exponential grown now which is a very bad sign
Total number of cases reported yesterday was 347 but only 283 of those were included in the NSW Health data file.
NSW Cases by Day
A total of 1263 new cases in the last 4 days.
From the 1263, only 6 cases were overseas acquired with 1257 cases locally acquired (100%) -- 689 from unknown sources (investigated)
689 Number of cases with unknown sources is too high now
NSW Cases by Area
A number of LGAs just got new cases two (2) week after the lockdown was announced (lockdown 21JUN, new cases after 05JUL)
(they are: Armidale Regional (A), Bathurst Regional (A), Blue Mountains (C), Cabonne (A), Clarence Valley (A), Coffs Harbour (C), Dubbo Regional (A), Goulburn Mulwaree (A), Gunnedah (A), Ku-ring-gai (A), Lake Macquarie (C), Lane Cove (A), Maitland (C), Newcastle (C), Port Stephens (A), Shellharbour (C), Snowy Valleys (A), Wingecarribee (A), Wollongong (C) ) 
LGAs with new cases in the last 3 days, but 1st time since 1st July: Clarence Valley (A), Dubbo Regional (A), Shellharbour (C)
Cases reported last 4 days from: Canterbury-Bankstown  273, Cumberland  172, Blacktown  145, Penrith  115, Fairfield  95, Liverpool  83, Campbelltown  58, Parramatta  48, Bayside  43, Georges River  25, Lake Macquarie  25, Newcastle  22, Camden  15, Ryde  13, Strathfield  12, Overseas 12, Inner West  11, Sydney  11, Randwick  10, Canada Bay  9, Northern Beaches  9, Waverley  8, Sutherland Shire  7, Maitland  6, Woollahra  5, The Hills Shire  5, Burwood  5, Lane Cove  3, Port Stephens  3, Ku-ring-gai  3, Central Coast  2.
"(blank)" in the area is used to identify "Overseas" cases
NSW Trends of the TOP-10 "Hotspot" LGAs (the areas to avoid!)
Locally acquired cases make up the majority of the cases in NSW
Canterbury-Bankstown has the highest caseload and it keeps growing
TOP-10 NSW LGAs with highest new cases proportional to their population for last 4 days
Canterbury-Bankstown has the highest new cases per population now
SHOALHAVEN Cases 
Last reported case in the Shoalhaven LGA was on 7th Jan ; and it was overseas acquired
16 cases reported in the Wollongong LGA from 1st July ; 3 reported last week: 3 on 3rd Aug
1 case reported today in Shellharbour
PROJECTIONS of Cases using last 14 days of data - If cases increase as trend
If new cases keep maintaining the current trend, we could exceed of 12,000 cases in total in NSW by
28th Aug (more than 2x the current caseload - that would put dangerous stress on our health system)
2x the caseload could mean 2x the hospitalisations, 2x the people in ICU and 2x the deaths
At the current trent, NSW will have the highest caseload in Australia by 3rd Sep (passing Victoria)