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This outbreak (from 16th June) |
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NSW Total Cases |
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Locally Transmitted: |
7337 |
Ovearseas Acquired: |
135 |
Deaths: |
43 |
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• |
NSW cases continue to climb, mostly locally
transmitted |
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• |
Reports updated to show data from 1st July to
the present |
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• |
NSW has more cases from this outbreak (from
16th June) than it has ever had since the 1st COVID-19 case in January 2020 |
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NSW Totals of Locally Acquired Cases ONLY |
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• |
The current outbreak started on 16th June and
has increased daily, and so far continues to grow |
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• |
The curve is showing sings of exponential grown
now which is a very bad sign |
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• |
Total number of cases reported yesterday was
467 but only 347 of those were included in the NSW Health data file. |
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NSW Cases by Day |
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• |
A total of 1481 new cases in the last 4 days. |
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• |
From the 1481, only 3 cases were overseas
acquired with 1478 cases locally acquired (100%) -- 893 from unknown sources
(investigated) |
|
• |
893 Number of cases with unknown sources is too
high now |
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|
NSW Cases by Area |
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• |
A number of LGAs just got new cases two (2)
week after the lockdown was announced (lockdown 21JUN, new cases after 05JUL) |
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(they are:
Armidale Regional (A), Bathurst Regional (A), Blue Mountains (C), Cabonne
(A), Cessnock (C), Clarence Valley (A), Coffs Harbour (C), Dubbo Regional
(A), Goulburn Mulwaree (A), Gunnedah (A), Ku-ring-gai (A), Lake Macquarie
(C), Lane Cove (A), Lithgow (C), Maitland (C), Newcastle (C), Port Stephens
(A), Shellharbour (C), Singleton (A), Snowy Valleys (A), Walgett (A),
Wingecarribee (A) ) |
|
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• |
LGAs with new
cases in the last 3 days, but 1st time since 1st July: Cessnock (C), Lithgow
(C), Singleton (A), Walgett (A) |
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• |
Cases reported
last 4 days from: Canterbury-Bankstown
287, Blacktown 207,
Cumberland 204, Penrith 155, Fairfield 115, Liverpool 86, Parramatta 50, Campbelltown 49, Bayside
34, Dubbo Regional 30, Lake
Macquarie 26, Georges River 24, Overseas 19, Ryde 16, Newcastle 16, Strathfield 14, Camden
14, Maitland 13, Sutherland
Shire 13, Sydney 11, Inner West 11, The Hills Shire 10, Canada Bay 9, Central Coast 8, Waverley
7, Northern Beaches 7,
Randwick 6, Ku-ring-gai 6, Blue Mountains 4, Walgett
4, Hawkesbury 4. |
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• |
"(blank)" in the area is used to
identify "Overseas" cases |
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NSW Trends of the TOP-10 "Hotspot"
LGAs (the areas to avoid!) |
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• |
Locally acquired cases make up the majority of
the cases in NSW |
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TOP-10 NSW LGAs with highest new cases
proportional to their population for last 4 days |
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• |
Canterbury-Bankstown has the highest new cases
per population now |
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SHOALHAVEN Cases |
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• |
Last reported case in the Shoalhaven LGA was on
7th Jan ; and it was overseas acquired |
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• |
2 more cases reported in Shellharbour on 13th
Aug |
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PROJECTIONS of Cases using last 14 days of
data - If cases increase as trend |
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• |
If new cases keep maintaining the current
trend, we could exceed of 14,000 cases in total in NSW by |
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28th Aug - that would put dangerous stress on
our health system |
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• |
We could have 2.2x more cases by 28th Aug -
that means 2.2x the number of ICU beds (63 now, could |
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be 138 by 28th Aug) and 2.2x people dead (39
now, could be 85 by 28th Aug) - Lockdown will continue |
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• |
NSW could reach herd immunity from
vaccinations by mid Nov, at present trend we could have then 10x |
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the number of cases, requiring 630 ICU beds
(max ICU beds in NSW is 592) and causing 350 more deaths |
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