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NSW COVID-19 |
Total |
Locally |
Overseas |
Deaths |
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Total (from 25-Jan-20) |
24536 |
21024 |
3512 |
333 |
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Outbreak from 16-Jun-21 |
19105 |
18930 |
175 |
277 |
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NSW Total Cases |
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• |
NSW cases continue to climb, mostly locally
transmitted |
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• |
Reports updated to show data from 1st September
to the present |
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NSW Totals of Locally Acquired Cases ONLY |
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• |
Total number of cases reported yesterday was
1044 but only 877 of those were included in the NSW Health data file. |
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• |
New case daily growth trend is no longer
exponential, which could be a great sign for NSW |
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NSW Cases by Day |
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• |
A total of 4139 new cases in the last 4 days. |
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• |
From the 4139, only 4 cases overseas acquired
with 4135 locally acquired (100%) - 3084 from unknown sources (investigated) |
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• |
3084 Number of cases with unknown sources is too
high now |
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NSW Cases by LGA |
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• |
A total of 20 LGAs got new cases after 1st
September (no cases in this outbreak before 1st September) |
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• |
They are: Albury
(C), Balranald (A), Bega Valley (A), Cowra (A), Eurobodalla (A), Hilltops
(A), Lismore (C), Murray River (A), Muswellbrook (A), Nambucca (A),
Narrandera (A), Port Macquarie-Hastings (A), Richmond Valley (A), Singleton
(A), Tamworth Regional (A), Upper Hunter Shire (A), Wagga Wagga (C), Walcha
(A), Wentworth (A), Yass Valley (A) . |
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• |
3 LGAs with new
cases in the last 3 days: Narrandera (A), Richmond Valley (A), Wagga Wagga
(C) |
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LGA's without cases in the last 14 days |
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• |
Armidale
Regional, Ballina, Bellingen, Berrigan, Bland, Bogan, Brewarrina, Byron,
Carrathool, Clarence Valley, Cobar, Coolamon, Coonamble, Cootamundra-Gundagai
Regional, Dungog, Edward River, Federation, Greater Hume, Griffith, Gwydir,
Hay, The Hills, Inverell, Junee, Kyogle, Lachlan, Leeton, Liverpool Plains,
Lockhart, Lord Howe Island, Moree Plains, Murrumbidgee, Narrabri, Oberon,
Snowy Valleys, Sutherland, Temora, Tenterfield, Tweed, Unincorporated Far
West, Upper Hunter, Upper Lachlan, Uralla, Warrumbungle, Weddin (total 45 of
the total 129 LGAs, with a population of 917,235, or 11.23% of the total NSW
population) |
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LGA case details from 16th August 2021 |
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• |
45 LGAs reported
cases last 4 days, and they are: Canterbury-Bankstown 572, Blacktown 403, Liverpool 378, Cumberland 344, Fairfield 216, Sydney
193, Wollongong 178,
Penrith 174, Campbelltown 167, Central Coast 125, Randwick 112, Bayside 110, Parramatta 90, Sutherland Shire 82, Georges River 78, Camden
71, Northern Beaches 60, Inner
West 58, Lake Macquarie 57, Overseas 53, Shellharbour 52, Newcastle 48, The Hills Shire 40, Hawkesbury 37, Ryde
33, Strathfield 28, Dubbo
Regional 27, Correctional settings 26,
Ku-ring-gai 23, Broken Hill 19, Shoalhaven 19, Wollondilly 17, Canada Bay 17, Woollahra 17, Hornsby
17, Waverley 16, Cowra 15, Lane Cove 13, Bourke
12, Blue Mountains 12, Maitland 12, Burwood
11, Cessnock 11, Kiama 11, Hilltops 10, Hunters Hill 8, Central Darling 7, Goulburn Mulwaree 6, Wingecarribee 6, Yass Valley 5, Willoughby 5, Queanbeyan-Palerang Regional 5, Coffs Harbour 4, Lithgow
4, Port Stephens 3,
Muswellbrook 3, Mid-Western
Regional 3, North Sydney 2, Mid-Coast 2, Lismore
1, Mosman 1, Walcha 1, Richmond Valley 1, Glen Innes Severn 1, Bathurst Regional 1, Wagga Wagga 1, Narrandera 1, Murray River 1, Narromine 1, Albury
1, Eurobodalla 1. |
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• |
"(blank)" in the area is used to
identify "Overseas" cases, and/or local cases with
"Unknown" LGA |
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NSW Trends of the TOP-10 "Hotspot"
LGAs (the areas to avoid!) |
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• |
Canterbury-Bankstown is increasing caseload at
a fast rate, while Cumberland's curve seems to be flattening |
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TOP-10 NSW LGAs with highest new cases
proportional to their population for last 4 days |
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• |
Liverpool and
Canterbury-Bankstown have passed Cumberland, and have the highest volume of
new cases last 4 days proportional to its population. Broken Hill made this
report too, and Sydney has been in this report for about a week already |
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SHOALHAVEN Cases |
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• |
The Shoalhaven LGA has now a total of 68 cases
in this outbreak, most locally transmitted |
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During the last 4 days, new cases were reported
in: Wollongong, Shellharbour, Wingecarribee, Kiama. |
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PROJECTIONS of Cases using current Trend to
15th Nov (target Herd Immunity from Vaccination) |
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• |
Daily new cases
has stabilised around 1,000 and at this trend, by the time NSW might reach
70% full
vaccination caseload could be little over 2.5x the current caseload which
could be manageable by Health |
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Comparison of impact to Greater Sydney vs.
Regional/Rural NSW - Daily Case Volumes |
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• |
First chart shows
the case number comparison of daily new cases in Greater Sydney vs.
Regional/Rural
NSW - The second chart shows the same daily case numbers but expressed as a
percentage of the population
of the LGAs in that region |
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• |
Proportional to the LGAs population, most of
the cases reported yesterday were in Reg/Rural NSW |
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Comparison of impact to Greater Sydney vs.
Regional/Rural NSW - Accum Case Volume |
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• |
First chart shows
the accummulated total number of cases comparing Greater Sydney vs.
Regional/Rural NSW.
The second chart shows the same accummulated totals but as a percentage of
the population of the LGAs in that
region |
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• |
There is a small increase in the Reg/Rural NSW
curve which is not a good sign |
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Vaccination Progress in NSW - Target Weeks to
achieve 70% & 80% based on trend |
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