NSW Cases by Location Analysis as of 24th September 2021

NSW COVID-19 Total Locally Overseas Deaths
Total (from 25-Jan-20) 24536 21024 3512 333
Outbreak from 16-Jun-21 19105 18930 175 277
NSW Total Cases
NSW cases continue to climb, mostly locally transmitted
Reports updated to show data from 1st September to the present
NSW Totals of Locally Acquired Cases ONLY
Total number of cases reported yesterday was 1044 but only 877 of those were included in the NSW Health data file.
New case daily growth trend is no longer exponential, which could be a great sign for NSW
NSW Cases by Day
A total of 4139 new cases in the last 4 days.
From the 4139, only 4 cases overseas acquired with 4135 locally acquired (100%) - 3084 from unknown sources (investigated)
3084 Number of cases with unknown sources is too high now
NSW Cases by LGA
A total of 20 LGAs got new cases after 1st September (no cases in this outbreak before 1st September)
They are: Albury (C), Balranald (A), Bega Valley (A), Cowra (A), Eurobodalla (A), Hilltops (A), Lismore (C), Murray River (A), Muswellbrook (A), Nambucca (A), Narrandera (A), Port Macquarie-Hastings (A), Richmond Valley (A), Singleton (A), Tamworth Regional (A), Upper Hunter Shire (A), Wagga Wagga (C), Walcha (A), Wentworth (A), Yass Valley (A) . 
3 LGAs with new cases in the last 3 days: Narrandera (A), Richmond Valley (A), Wagga Wagga (C)
LGA's without cases in the last 14 days
Armidale Regional, Ballina, Bellingen, Berrigan, Bland, Bogan, Brewarrina, Byron, Carrathool, Clarence Valley, Cobar, Coolamon, Coonamble, Cootamundra-Gundagai Regional, Dungog, Edward River, Federation, Greater Hume, Griffith, Gwydir, Hay, The Hills, Inverell, Junee, Kyogle, Lachlan, Leeton, Liverpool Plains, Lockhart, Lord Howe Island, Moree Plains, Murrumbidgee, Narrabri, Oberon, Snowy Valleys, Sutherland, Temora, Tenterfield, Tweed, Unincorporated Far West, Upper Hunter, Upper Lachlan, Uralla, Warrumbungle, Weddin (total 45 of the total 129 LGAs, with a population of 917,235, or 11.23% of the total NSW population)
LGA case details from 16th August 2021
45 LGAs reported cases last 4 days, and they are: Canterbury-Bankstown  572, Blacktown  403, Liverpool  378, Cumberland  344, Fairfield  216, Sydney  193, Wollongong  178, Penrith  174, Campbelltown  167, Central Coast  125, Randwick  112, Bayside  110, Parramatta  90, Sutherland Shire  82, Georges River  78, Camden  71, Northern Beaches  60, Inner West  58, Lake Macquarie  57, Overseas 53, Shellharbour  52, Newcastle  48, The Hills Shire  40, Hawkesbury  37, Ryde  33, Strathfield  28, Dubbo Regional  27, Correctional settings 26, Ku-ring-gai  23, Broken Hill  19, Shoalhaven  19, Wollondilly  17, Canada Bay  17, Woollahra  17, Hornsby  17, Waverley  16, Cowra  15, Lane Cove  13, Bourke  12, Blue Mountains  12, Maitland  12, Burwood  11, Cessnock  11, Kiama  11, Hilltops  10, Hunters Hill  8, Central Darling  7, Goulburn Mulwaree  6, Wingecarribee  6, Yass Valley  5, Willoughby  5, Queanbeyan-Palerang Regional  5, Coffs Harbour  4, Lithgow  4, Port Stephens  3, Muswellbrook  3, Mid-Western Regional  3, North Sydney  2, Mid-Coast  2, Lismore  1, Mosman  1, Walcha  1, Richmond Valley  1, Glen Innes Severn  1, Bathurst Regional  1, Wagga Wagga  1, Narrandera  1, Murray River  1, Narromine  1, Albury  1, Eurobodalla  1.
"(blank)" in the area is used to identify "Overseas" cases, and/or local cases with "Unknown" LGA
NSW Trends of the TOP-10 "Hotspot" LGAs (the areas to avoid!)
Canterbury-Bankstown is increasing caseload at a fast rate, while Cumberland's curve seems to be flattening
TOP-10 NSW LGAs with highest new cases proportional to their population for last 4 days
Liverpool and Canterbury-Bankstown have passed Cumberland, and have the highest volume of new cases last 4 days proportional to its population. Broken Hill made this report too, and Sydney has been in this report for about a week already
SHOALHAVEN Cases 
The Shoalhaven LGA has now a total of 68 cases in this outbreak, most locally transmitted
During the last 4 days, new cases were reported in: Wollongong, Shellharbour, Wingecarribee, Kiama.
PROJECTIONS of Cases using current Trend to 15th Nov (target Herd Immunity from Vaccination)
Daily new cases has stabilised around 1,000 and at this trend, by the time NSW might reach 70% full
vaccination caseload could be little over 2.5x the current caseload which could be manageable by Health
Comparison of impact to Greater Sydney vs. Regional/Rural NSW - Daily Case Volumes
First chart shows the case number comparison of daily new cases in Greater Sydney vs. Regional/Rural
NSW - The second chart shows the same daily case numbers but expressed as a percentage of the population
of the LGAs in that region
Proportional to the LGAs population, most of the cases reported yesterday were in Reg/Rural NSW
Comparison of impact to Greater Sydney vs. Regional/Rural NSW - Accum Case Volume
First chart shows the accummulated total number of cases comparing Greater Sydney vs. Regional/Rural NSW.
The second chart shows the same accummulated totals but as a percentage of the population of the LGAs in that
region
There is a small increase in the Reg/Rural NSW curve which is not a good sign
Vaccination Progress in NSW - Target Weeks to achieve 70% & 80% based on trend