NSW Cases by Location Analysis as of 1st October 2021

NSW COVID-19 Total Locally Overseas Deaths
Total (from 25-Jan-20) 24522 21010 3512 408
Outbreak from 16-Jun-21 19091 18916 175 352
NSW Total Cases
NSW cases continue to climb, mostly locally transmitted
Reports updated to show data from 1st September to the present
NSW Totals of Locally Acquired Cases ONLY
Total number of cases reported yesterday was 866 but only 762 of those were included in the NSW Health data file.
New case daily growth trend is no longer exponential, which could be a great sign for NSW
NSW Cases by Day
A total of 3485 new cases in the last 4 days.
From the 3485, only 11 cases overseas acquired with 3474 locally acquired (100%) - 2497 from unknown sources (investigated)
2497 Number of cases with unknown sources is too high now
A total of 27 LGAs got new cases after 1st September (no cases in this outbreak before 1st September)
They are: Albury (C), Balranald (A), Bega Valley (A), Byron (A), Cowra (A), Dungog (A), Edward River (A), Eurobodalla (A), Griffith (C), Hilltops (A), Kyogle (A), Lismore (C), Murray River (A), Muswellbrook (A), Nambucca (A), Oberon (A), Port Macquarie-Hastings (A), Richmond Valley (A), Singleton (A), Snowy Valleys (A), Tamworth Regional (A), Tweed (A), Upper Hunter Shire (A), Upper Lachlan Shire (A), Walcha (A), Warrumbungle Shire (A), Wentworth (A), Yass Valley (A) . 
7 LGAs with new cases in the last 3 days: Byron (A), Dungog (A), Edward River (A), Griffith (C), Kyogle (A), Richmond Valley (A), Tweed (A)
LGA's without cases in the last 14 days: Armidale Regional, Ballina, Bellingen, Berrigan, Bland, Bogan, Brewarrina, Carrathool, Clarence Valley, Cobar, Coolamon, Coonamble, Cootamundra-Gundagai Regional, Federation, Greater Hume, Gwydir, Hay, The Hills, Inverell, Junee, Lachlan, Leeton, Liverpool Plains, Lockhart, Lord Howe Island, Moree Plains, Murrumbidgee, Narrandera, Narrabri, Sutherland, Temora, Tenterfield, Unincorporated Far West, Upper Hunter, Upper Lachlan, Uralla, Wagga Wagga, Warrumbungle, Weddin (total 39 of the total 129 LGAs, with a population of 790,443, or 9.68% of the total NSW population)
LGA case details from 16th August 2021
39 LGAs reported cases last 4 days, and they are: Canterbury-Bankstown  370, Blacktown  296, Cumberland  289, Wollongong  228, Liverpool  215, Campbelltown  212, Penrith  160, Fairfield  147, Central Coast  121, Bayside  99, Sydney  97, Randwick  89, Newcastle  71, Parramatta  70, Northern Beaches  65, Shellharbour  61, Lake Macquarie  60, Dubbo Regional  57, Camden  49, Georges River  46, Maitland  46, Shoalhaven  45, Queanbeyan-Palerang Regional  44, Inner West  40, Cessnock  39, Sutherland Shire  36, The Hills Shire  31, Overseas 30, Waverley  25, Ryde  23, Strathfield  22, Hornsby  21, Cowra  17, Oberon  17, Port Stephens  16, Goulburn Mulwaree  16, Broken Hill  16, Narromine  15, Correctional settings 14, Hawkesbury  14, Bourke  11, North Sydney  10, Wingecarribee  10, Woollahra  9, Canada Bay  9, Ku-ring-gai  8, Eurobodalla  8, Wollondilly  8, Lane Cove  7, Kyogle  6, Snowy Monaro Regional  6, Hilltops  6, Mid-Western Regional  5, Blue Mountains  5, Mid-Coast  4, Singleton  4, Walgett  4, Kempsey  4, Willoughby  4, Muswellbrook  4, Kiama  3, Bathurst Regional  3, Byron  2, Upper Hunter Shire  2, Burwood  2, Hunters Hill  2, Tweed  1, Griffith  1, Edward River  1, Upper Lachlan Shire  1, Richmond Valley  1, Dungog  1, Coffs Harbour  1, Port Macquarie-Hastings  1, Lithgow  1, Central Darling  1.
"(blank)" in the area is used to identify "Overseas" cases, and/or local cases with "Unknown" LGA
NSW Trends of the TOP-10 "Hotspot" LGAs in the Greater Sydney region (the areas to avoid!)
All LGAs seem to be starting to flatten their curves (reducing new case numbers)
NSW Trends of the TOP-10 "Hotspot" LGAs in Regional/Rural NSW (the areas to avoid!)
Regional/Rural NSW LGAs are still increasing caseloads daily, Dubbo has almost twice the caseload than the 2nd LGA
TOP-10 Greater Sydney LGAs with highest new cases proportional to population for last 4 days
Cambelltown and Cumberland have the highest volume of new cases last 4 days proportional to its population. 
Wollongong is 3rd and Shellharbour is 6th, on the top-10 LGAs with highest caseload increases per population last 4 days
TOP-10 Regional/Rural NSW LGAs with highest new cases proportional to population for last 4 days
Bourke and Narromine are the top-2 LGAs with the highest volume of new cases last 4 days proportional to their population - All their new cases are under investigation still
SHOALHAVEN Cases 
The Shoalhaven LGA has now a total of 103 cases in this outbreak, most locally transmitted
During the last 4 days, new cases were reported in: Wollongong, Shellharbour, Wingecarribee, Kiama.
Cases last 4 days by Date, Post Code and Source of Infection in Shoalhaven or near LGAs
PROJECTIONS of Cases using current Trend to 15th Nov (target Herd Immunity from Vaccination)
Daily new cases has stabilised around 1,000 and at this trend, by the time NSW might reach 70% full
vaccination caseload could be under 2x the current caseload which could be manageable by Health
Comparison of impact to Greater Sydney vs. Regional/Rural NSW - Daily Case Volumes
First chart shows the case number comparison of daily new cases in Greater Sydney vs. Regional/Rural
NSW - The second chart shows the same daily case numbers but expressed as a percentage of the population
of the LGAs in that region
Daily new cases are lowering in Greater Sydney LGAs, while they are increasing in Regional/Rural NSW LGAs
Comparison of impact to Greater Sydney vs. Regional/Rural NSW - Accum Case Volume
First chart shows the accummulated total number of cases comparing Greater Sydney vs. Regional/Rural NSW.
The second chart shows the same accummulated totals but as a percentage of the population of the LGAs in that
region
Vaccination Progress in NSW - Target Weeks to achieve 70% & 80% based on trend