COVID-19 Graphs 08MAY2020

Notes:

  1. USA has not been reporting the full volume of cases and deaths to the WHO organisation as all other countries around the world do – Daily numbers for the USA have been loaded from the WorldMeter website, as they are consistent with the numbers reported by other US government websites.

 

Comparative Analysis from Day “1” (>100 cases) by Cases/Deaths relative to 1M Populations

Compare countries COVID-19 journey from their day “1” (when they exceeded the 100 case mark) using their case and death numbers relative to the countries 1 million population (1M).

Highest Caseloads per 1M Population (+China as reference)

  • Spain and Belgium continue to have the highest caseload per 1M
  • Sweden has passed Netherlands on caseload per 1M

  • Belgium still has the highest deaths per 1M population, and its curve is flattening
  • Sweden has passed Netherlands (3x as much as Germany)

New Hotspots Around the World (+China as reference)

  • Peru, Chile and Russia continue to climb straight up; Russia will probably pass Chile tomorrow

  • Peru and Brazil have more than twice the deaths per 1M than other countries

COVID-19 Cases

 

  • World – at current trend the world could be just under 4,500,000 cases by 15th May

  • Australia – at current trend, could be around 7,000 cases by 15th May

  • Argentina – at current trend could be just above 6,000 cases by 15th May (small reduction)

  • UK – at current trend UK could be around 240,000 cases by 15th May

  • USA – at current trend could be around 1,500,000 cases by 15th May (small reduction)

 

COVID-19 Deaths

 

  • World – at present trend, total number of deaths related to COVID-19 could be under 320,000 by 15th May (small reduction)

  • Australia – at current trend, could still be around 100 by 15th May

  • Argentina – at current trend, deaths could be just under 350 by 15th May (small reduction)

  • UK – at current trend could just under 40,000 by 15th May (small reduction)

  • USA – at the current trend, deaths could be just below 100,000 by 15th May (small reduction)

 

Best and Worst Performers as of Today

The symbol indicates a change in the ranking table from yesterday.

Lowest Cases per 1 million (1M) Population

  • No changes

Highest Cases per 1 million (1M) Population

  • No changes

Highest Recoveries per Case volume

  • No changes

Lowest Recoveries per Case volume

  • Russia and Bangladesh swapped places; USA and Ukraine swapped places; Indonesia and Sweden swapped places; Dominican Republic displaced Saudi Arabia on the 10th place

Number of New Recoveries per Cases volume

  • There was no country that reported significant number of recoveries  overnight
  • Bangladesh, Sweden, Japan, India and Romania are new to this ranking; all other countries were there previously
  • It is the first time Sweden made this ranking, with a large number of recoveries reported overnight (almost 20% of their total number of recoveries)

Highest Tests volume per 1 million (1M) Population

  • Belgium and Spain swapped places; Russia and Germany swapped places

Lowest Test volume per 1 million (1M) Population

  • Japan and Morocco swapped places

Number of New Tests overnight per 1 million (1M) Population

  • Large numbers of tests were performed by Kazakhstan, Chile and Peru; other countries in this list have been performing many tests overnight for a few days

Lowest Deaths per Case volume

  • Kazakhstan took the 2nd place with very low deaths reported, displacing other countries down

Highest Deaths per Case volume

  • France and  UK swapped places

Lowest Number of New Cases overnight per Case volume

  • France and Spain reported low new cases overnight (the other countries have been reporting low new cases for a few days) — This is great news !!

Highest Number of New Cases overnight per Case volume

  • No country reported more than 7% increase of caseload overnight
  • Mexico and South Africa reported large new case increases overnight; all other countries have been reported many new cases overnight for a few days
  • Daily increases of 14-15% mean case volume could double in around 4-5 days; daily increases of 9-10% mean case volumes could double in around 5-6 days – It is encouraging to see we don’t have any country with daily case increases of 25% of case volumes of higher, as that would mean that caseloads would double in 2-3 days

Highest Number of Days from Day “1” (>100 cases) – Yellow if >5% increase

  • No changes

Hotspots (highest overnight case increase per 1M last 3 days)

  • No new country added or removed from the Hotspots today

 

Data Source Links

 

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